開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

21E.Tina 直接命名 曇花一現

簽到天數: 2414 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2016-11-9 20:13 | 顯示全部樓層
  熱帶風暴  
編號:21 E
名稱:Tina
21E.png

  基本資料  
擾動編號日期:2016 11 09 20
命名日期  :2016 11 14 11
撤編日期  :2016 11 19 07
登陸地點  :

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速:35 kt
海平面最低氣壓:1005 百帕

  過去路徑圖  


  討論帖圖片  
92E.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.10N.100W

20161108.2126.f15.goes-13.ir.92E.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.10N.100W.050pc.jpg

NHC:20%

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of
low pressure located about 600 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, have increased since yesterday.  This system is expected to
move northwestward and then northward at 5 to 10 mph into an area of
strong upper-level winds late this week and this weekend, and
development, if any, should be slow to occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent two_pac_2d1.png

以上資料來自:NHC、颱風論壇整理製作

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 3279 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2016-11-14 12:14 | 顯示全部樓層
突然就直接升格21E並命名Tina了,即將再度降格TD。
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 140208
TCDEP1

TROPICAL STORM TINA DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212016
900 PM MDT SUN NOV 13 2016

Organized deep convection has developed closer to the center of the
low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico since this afternoon.  On this
basis, the system is being designated as a tropical storm with 35
kt winds, in agreement with a satellite classification of T2.5 from
TAFB and earlier ASCAT data.  Even though Tina is over 30 deg C
waters, a large mid- to upper-level trough extending southwestward
into the eastern Pacific from the central United States is imparting
around 30 kt of south-southwesterly shear over the cyclone.  This
shear is forecast to increase further during the next 24 hours when
a piece of the trough amplifies over the Gulf of Mexico, and this
should cause Tina to degenerate into a remnant low.  The NHC
intensity forecast is consistent with the statistical-dynamical
guidance and shows dissipation by 48 hours.

The initial motion estimate is 350/03.  In the very short term,
Tina should continue to move generally northward, or possibly
even erratically toward the current convective burst, in a deep
layer of south-southwesterly flow.  Within about 12 hours, the shear
is forecast to be extremely strong and result in a decoupling of the
cyclone.  Once this occurs, Tina should turn west-northwestward and
westward into the low-level flow around the eastern Pacific
subtropical ridge.  The NHC forecast track is a little to the right
of all of the guidance through 12 hours and then merges with the
multi-model consensus until dissipation.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  14/0300Z 18.5N 107.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
12H  14/1200Z 18.9N 107.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
24H  15/0000Z 19.1N 108.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H  15/1200Z 19.0N 109.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H  16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

020628W_sm.gif

rbtop-animated.gif
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 4412 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

s6815711|2016-11-15 12:06 | 顯示全部樓層
20161115.0330.goes15.x.ir1km_bw.21ETINA.25kts-1009mb-189N-1095W.97pc.jpg

只能勉強看到一些些的雲系
將繼續往西移動
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

0908morakot

    主題

    帖子

    69萬

    積分

    12級[颶風Hurricane]

    Rank: 12Rank: 12Rank: 12

12級[颶風Hurricane]

發訊息

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表