Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 9 January 2017
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 12 January 2017.
At 1pm WST on Monday, a tropical low (09U) was located near 10.5S 102.6E,
approximately 340 kilometres west of Christmas Island. The models are generally
consistent in moving the system southeasterly during Monday and Tuesday, and
then in a easterly direction south of Christmas Island during Wednesday to
Saturday. The development to tropical cyclone intensity is unlikely due to an
unfavourable environment in the region, and all model guidance is consistent in
NOT significantly intensifying the system. Christmas Island may experience fresh
to strong northwesterly winds and heavy rainfall at times as the system passes
to the south of the island during the week.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday: Very Low
Wednesday: Very Low
Thursday: Very Low