霧峰追風者

  輕度颱風  
編號：1726 ( 32 W )
名稱：啟德 ( Kai-tak )

  基本資料  
擾動編號日期：2017 年 12 月 10 日 06 時
升格熱低日期：2017 年 12 月 12 日 03 時
命名日期　　：2017 年 12 月 14 日 08 時
停編日期　　：2017 年 12 月 22 日 08 時
登陸地點　　：菲律賓 東薩瑪省

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
中央氣象局 (CWB)：20 m/s ( 8 級 )
日本氣象廳 (JMA) ：20 m/s ( 40 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC)：50 kts ( TS )

海平面最低氣壓與暴風半徑
海平面最低氣壓：995 百帕
七級風半徑　　：100 公里
十級風半徑　　：---- 公里

  過去路徑圖  

  擾動編號資料  
96W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.7.4N.132.4E


以上資料來自：CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

霧峰追風者

JTWC 14Z評級LOW

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.7N
135.8E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 101203Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE
PARTIAL PASS SHOW A POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH LIMITED FLARING
CONVECTION. A 101202Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION
WITH PRIMARILY 5-10 KNOT WINDS AND ISOLATED 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS TO
THE WEST. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A MODERATELY
FAVORABLE AREA WITH UPPER LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 CELSIUS), BUT IS OFFSET BY MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 KNOTS). NAVGEM AND GFS SHOW THE DISTURBANCE
MOVING TO THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BUT ARE DIVIDED AS
TO WHEN IT WILL BEGIN TO INTENSIFY. OTHER GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW
INTENSIFICATION AND ARE DIVIDED AS TO THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE
DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO
15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

霧峰追風者

JTWC 05Z評級提升至Medium

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.7N 135.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.7N 131.9E, APPROXIMATELY 165
NM WEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN
110038Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS SHOW AN ELONGATED SYSTEM WITH
PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION AND FEEDER BANDS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP TO
THE NORTH. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A MOSTLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS), AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (10-20 KNOTS). SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM KOROR (PTKR) SHOW
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 11 KNOTS WITH SLP NEAR 1005.7MB AND A 24-HOUR
SLP DECREASE OF ABOUT 1MB. NAVGEM AND GFS INDICATE A GRADUALLY
STRENGTHENING SYSTEM, WHICH SLOWLY DRIFTS POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

zjk369

JMA已升格热带低压

霧峰追風者

TXPQ27 KNES 112123
TCSWNP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (96W)
B.  11/2030Z
C.  7.9N
D.  128.6E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-8
F.  T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...LESS THAN 2/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF LESSS THAN 1.0. MET
IS 1.0 AND PT IS LESS THAN 1.0. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS WHICH DO NOT
ALLOW ENDING A STORM AT NIGHT IN THE FIRST 24-HOURS.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
NIL

...WHISNANT

霧峰追風者

JMA 發佈GW，有機會今明兩天命名。

熱帯低気圧
平成29年12月12日10時30分 発表

<12日09時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        フィリピンの東
中心位置        北緯 8度40分(8.7度)
東経 130度30分(130.5度)
進行方向、速さ        北 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧        1004hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<13日09時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        フィリピンの東
予報円の中心        北緯 9度00分(9.0度)
東経 131度00分(131.0度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        200km(110NM)

ben811018

位於菲律賓東南方的熱帶性低氣壓９６Ｗ正逐漸發展，有機會在未來２４小時內成為第２６號颱風「啟德」，以目前資料研判，將朝菲律賓接近，對台灣不會有直接影響。至於後期水氣是否北上間接影響到台灣天氣則要繼續觀察，也請大家多注意囉！


補ＥＣ系集，短期內朝菲律賓陸地接近，之後受到冷氣團影響，往南＂掉＂下去～

霧峰追風者

JTWC 01Z發佈"TCFA"