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02F(95P)

簽到天數: 594 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2018-11-9 21:34 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :95 P
擾動編號日期:2018 11 09 20
撤編日期  :2018 11 14 12
95P.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-4.0S-155.2E

20181109.1310.himawari-8.ir.95P.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.4S.155.2E.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2019擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 992 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

周子堯@FB|2018-11-11 08:30 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 10/21Z評級Low。
  (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.8S
156.0E, APPROXIMATELY 604 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW
GUINEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A PARTIAL
092324Z MHS METOP-A 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A POORLY-ORGANIZED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION(LLC) WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS THE DISTURBANCE IN AN AREA OF LOW (5-10 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS) IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FUTURE
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT 95P WILL SLOWLY STRENGTHEN
AND TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair-J.jpg
20181110.2350.himawari-8.vis.95P.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.5.8S.157.8E.100pc.jpg

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