霧峰追風者

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：97 P
擾動編號日期：2018 年 12 月 29 日 07 時
撤編日期　　：2019 年 01 月 01 日 08 時
97P.INVEST.15kts-1002mb-13.0S-153.3E

jrchang5

JTWC於2906Z評級Low。預計將逐漸東移發展，亦可能併入94P環流中。

(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
12.7S 153.4E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTHEAST OF WILLIS ISLAND,
AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 290524Z SSMIS F-
16 91GHZ DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION AND A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE VERY FAVORABLE (29-
30 DEGREES CELSIUS). VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATELY FAVORABLE
(BETWEEN 20-30 KNOTS). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24-48
HOURS WITH A EASTWARD TRACK AND POSSIBLE INTEGRATION INTO INVEST
94P.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.