霧峰追風者

  輕度颱風  
編號：2005 ( 05 W )
名稱：薔蜜 ( Jangmi )


  基本資料  
擾動編號日期        ：2020 年 08 月 06 日 18 時
JMA升格熱低日期：2020 年 08 月 07 日 08 時
CWB編號日期 　　: 2020 年 08 月 08 日 02 時
命名日期　　 　　：2020 年 08 月 09 日 02 時
停編日期　        　：2020 年 08 月 11 日 18 時
登陸地點　　        ：南韓 慶尚南道

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
中央氣象局 (CWB)：20 m/s ( 8 級 )
日本氣象廳 (JMA) ：23 m/s ( 45 kt )
韓國氣象廳 (KMA)：19 m/s ( 37 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC)：40 kts ( TS )
海平面最低氣壓：995 百帕
暴風圈半徑
七級風半徑　　：100 公里
十級風半徑　　：---- 公里

  過去路徑圖   - 來源：維基百科


  擾動編號資料  
94W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-14N-128.1E


以上資料來自：CWB、JMA、KMA、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

天篷大元帥

tropicaltidbits網站模擬大致趨向大韓民國
不過少數的路線會短時間內消散

霧峰追風者

JMA 00Z升格熱帶低壓。

老農民版夜神月

JMA00Z升格TD

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 127E NNW 10 KT.

Heigo

JTWC評級Low

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.2N 125.0E, APPROXIMATELY 237 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070108Z METOP-B 89
GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH
FLARING CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS BUT NO
DEFINED SHALLOW BANDING. RECENT ASCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A DEFINED
BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 5-10KT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND
10-15KT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 94W IS CURRENTLY
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD
UPPER LEVEL FLOW, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-
31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL TRACK NORTHWARD INTO THE EAST CHINA
SEA WHILE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT 24-36
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

天篷大元帥

日本氣象廳看好發展，預測兩日後已經命名。
(圖片經修改)

老農民版夜神月

JTWC07/1230Z提升評級為Medium

ABPW10 PGTW 071230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/071230Z-080600ZAUG2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.2N 125.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 125.6E, APPROXIMATELY
580 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 071025Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 94W IS CURRENTLY IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
AND IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
AND WARM (29-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
STRONG AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL TRACK NORTHWARD INTO THE EAST
CHINA SEA WHILE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY IN THE NEXT 18-
24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

king111807

週末好天氣，沒問題！

但下星期，就要注意低壓動態囉～

　

在菲律賓東方，

已經醞釀一段時間的低壓９４Ｗ，

預計會在週末結束，趁高壓稍微減弱時，

從台灣東邊一路向北，前進日韓。

　

目前看，

９４Ｗ未來無論成不成颱，

都跟台灣沒啥關係，

我們要關注的重點，是旁邊的南海低壓。

　

現在南海低壓組織還不好，連編號都還沒有，

但隨著菲東的94W北上後，

這顆低壓會一起被拉來台灣附近，

成不成颱未知，但對天氣影響肯定不會少～

　

目前預計南海低壓影響的時間

會落在「下週平日」，

對中南部、花東的天氣影響很大，

暑假出門玩，多注意啦！

參考資料｜RAMMB

發布時間｜2020-08-07 22:20