老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號               ：95 P
擾動編號日期 ：2021 年 01 月 26 日 14 時
撤編日期        ：2021 年 01 月 28 日 08 時
95P.INVEST.20kts.-1mb.17S.162E

老農民版夜神月

FMS編號04F

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 252332 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD04F CENTRE [1000HPA] WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S
162.5E AT 252100UTC. TD04F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERY SURFACE REPORTS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF
SUPPOSED LLCC IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. SYSTEM
LIES UNDER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO
MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT
SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

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逐漸拼入96P的雲系之中，FNMOC撤編