老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號               ：92 P
擾動編號日期 ：2021 年 03 月 06 日 01 時
撤編日期        ：2021 年 03 月 06 日 21 時
92P.INVEST.15kts.989mb.24S.175E

老農民版夜神月

FMS編號11F

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 050941 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11F [1001HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 23.4S 172.5E AT
050655UTC. TD011F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTRE [LLCC] IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AND ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH
SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. TD11F LIES UNDER AN UPPER
RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS
WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

老農民版夜神月

JTWC18Z一舉將定強提升至30KT,另外SSD對其分析T1.0

92P INVEST 210305 1800 25.2S 177.4E SHEM 30 1000

TXPS22 KNES 051837
TCSWSP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92P)
B.  05/1730Z
C.  24.8S
D.  177.6E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-8
F.  T1.0/1.0
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT=1.0. THE MET AND PT AGREE. FT
IS BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...SANDUSKY