開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

93A

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2021-11-16 12:06 | 顯示全部樓層
基本資料  
編號    :93 A
擾動編號日期:2021 11 16 11
撤編日期  :2021 11 00 00
93A.INVEST.15kts-993mb-13.5N-71E
20211116.0330.himawari-8.ir.93A.INVEST.15kts.993mb.13.5N.71E.100pc.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2021擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1569 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-17 17:49 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
14.8N 69.1E, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A TIMELY
162359Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LLC
WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO
MODERATE (10 TO 20 KTS) VWS, EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-
29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 93A WILL SEE MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12
TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair (42).jpg 20211117.0900.msg-1.ir.93A.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.15.5N.69E.100pc.jpg 20211117.0853.gw1.89pct89h89v.93A.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.15.5N.69E.91pc.jpg 93A_gefs_latest.png
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1569 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-20 01:06 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格TD
93A INVEST 211119 1200 15.1N 69.1E IO 25 1003
20211119.1200.msg-1.ir.93A.INVEST.25kts.1003mb.15.1N.69.1E.100pc.jpg 20211119.0521.mtc.ASCAT.wind.93A.INVEST.25kts-1004mb.157N.692E.25km.noqc.jpg
93A_tracks_latest.png 93A_gefs_latest (1).png
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1569 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-20 02:04 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-11-20 02:15 編輯

但於18Z便已對其取消評級
ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/191800Z-201800ZNOV2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.9N 68.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
abpwsair (46).jpg
20211119.1700.msg-1.ir.93A.INVEST.25kts.1003mb.15.1N.69.1E.100pc.jpg
20211119.1505.gpm.89pct89h89v.93A.INVEST.25kts.1003mb.15.1N.69.1E.055pc.jpg 20211119.1505.gpm.89hbt.93A.INVEST.25kts.1003mb.15.1N.69.1E.055pc.jpg
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1569 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-22 02:39 | 顯示全部樓層
對流嚴重切離,持續減弱,大限將至
20211121.1636.mtb.ASCAT.wind.93A.INVEST.20kts-1007mb.126N.673E.25km.jpg 20211121.1730.msg-1.ir.93A.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.12.6N.67.3E.100pc.jpg
20211121.1455.gpm.89pct89h89v.93A.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.12.6N.67.3E.060pc.jpg 93A_gefs_latest (3).png
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表