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92W JMA:TD 那霸東南方海域 逐漸消散

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2023-9-10 13:03 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2023-9-13 13:59 編輯

  熱帶低壓  
編號:92 W
名稱:-

  基本資料  

JMA升格熱低日期:2023 09 10 08
擾動編號日期        :2023 09 10 13
JMA降格日期       :2023 09 00 00
命名日期                :2023 09 00 00
停編日期                :2023 09 00 00

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
本氣象廳  (JMA) :15 m/s ( 30 kt )
聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC):15 kts ( -- )


  過去路徑圖  

  擾動編號資料  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 23N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY.

104525tshtpf3go49hn1iy.png
92W INVEST 230910 0000 23.8N 129.3E WPAC 15 1004
133531annkznq3kkq93kr9.jpg


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簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2023-9-11 10:24 | 顯示全部樓層
abpwsair.jpg
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.1N
129.0E, APPROXIMATELY 206 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA,
JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 102228Z SSMIS
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK, RAGGED, AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DISORGANIZED, SHALLOW FLARING CONVECTION.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 92W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MINIMAL POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-
29C) SSTS. ADDITIONALLY, AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIRECTLY OVER
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND SUPPRESS CONVECTION. GLOBAL MODELS
SHOW THAT 92W WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OR BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY IN
PLACE OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS LOW.


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[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2023-9-11 17:17 | 顯示全部樓層
abpwsair.jpg
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
23.1N 129.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 130.0E, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION. A 110126Z
ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS ISOLATED 20 KT WINDS WEST OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 92W IS IN A MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT AND DRY
AIR ENTRAINMENT OFFSET BY LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM
(28-29 C) SST. ADDITIONALLY, A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIRECTLY OVER THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS
SHOW THAT 92W WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE WIND FIELD, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
20230911.0405.gw1.89hbt.92W.INVEST.20kts.1004mb.23.3N.129.9E.51pc.jpg
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