alu

基本資料  
編號　　　　：97 E
擾動編號日期：2025 年 09 月 19 日 02 時
撤編日期　　：2025 年 09 月 00 日 00 時
EP, 97, 2025091918,   , BEST,   0, 120N,  960W,  20, 1010, DB,  34, NEQ









Tropical Weather Outlook Text        Tropical Weather Discussion
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 19 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:


2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that an area of
low pressure has formed a couple of hundred miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico.  The system is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends westward over
the southwestern Mexico offshore waters.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by early to mid-next week while it
moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel
to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.



Forecaster Roberts

king111807

NHC展望提升至Medium，40%

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the early to middle part of next week while it moves
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

king111807

NHC展望提升至50%

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the early to middle part of next week while it moves
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.