alu

基本資料  
編號　　　　：92 P
擾動編號日期：2026 年 03 月 02 日 08 時
撤編日期　　：2026 年 03 月 00 日 00 時
92P INVEST 260302 0000 16.7S 140.3E SHEM 15 1009

king111807

JTWC評級Low

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.7S
140.3E, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS STRONG FLARING
CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITHIN THE
GULF OF CARPENTARIA.  ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA IS FAVORABLE,
WITH STRONG WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20
KTS). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON A QUASI-
STATIONARY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE GULF BEFORE MOVING SOUTHWEST FURTHER
INTO AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO
18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

king111807

JTWC撤評

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
15.0S 137.4E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.