1305 貝碧佳登陸北越消散中

阿隆 · 2013-6-19 00:55

  輕度颱風
編號：1305 ( 05W )
名稱：貝碧佳 ( BEBINCA )

  基本資料
　擾動編號日期：2013 年 06 月 19 日 00 時
　命名日期　　：2013 年 06 月 21 日 09 時
　消散日期　　：2013 年 06 月 24 日 14 時
　登陸地點　　：中國海南島瓊海市
  巔峰時期資料
　近中心最強風速
　中央氣象局 (CWB)： 23  m/s ( 9 級 )
　日本氣象廳 (JMA)： 20   m/s ( 40 kts )
　美國海軍 (JTWC)  ： 35  kts  ( TS    )

　最低氣壓與暴風圈半徑
　海平面最低氣壓： 985 百帕
　七級風半徑　　： 100  公里
　十級風半徑　　： - 公里
  過去路徑圖
暫無
  討論帖圖片

94W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-13.7N-114.6E

以上資料來自 : CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇編輯製作

888894 · 2013-6-19 04:21

HKO火星預報94W會受麗琵影響直趨台灣啊

powerng · 2013-6-19 07:33

難道影響不到香港?

sh991016 · 2013-6-19 09:41

已經評價LOW囉!~ 都怎麼都沒有人PO...

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5N 115.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
DISORGANIZED-FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 182001Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE
INDICATES NO DISCERNIBLE LLCC, HOWEVER, THERE ARE HINTS OF
FRAGMENTED BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE LLCC. A
NEARBY SHIP REPORT INDICATES 11 KNOT WINDS AT 1002 MB. THE SYSTEM IS
LOCATED WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOW (5 TO 10 KTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM (~30 DEG CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(SSTS). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR ENHANCED OUTFLOW BY A TUTT CELL LOCATED NEAR 22N
120E. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS WITH A TRACK
MEANDERING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

sh991016 · 2013-6-19 11:19

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5N 115.4E, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED-FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 182229Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES NO DISCERNIBLE LLCC, HOWEVER, THERE ARE HINTS OF FRAGMENTED BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE LLCC. A NEARBY SHIP REPORT INDICATES 10 KNOT WINDS AT 1003 MB. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOW (5 TO 10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM (~30 DEG CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. ENHANCED ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT POLEWARD OUTFLOW MAY BE ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF A TUTT CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS WITH A TRACK MEANDERING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNT OF INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION AND PROXIMITY TO A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.恐怖了!!!!今早已經MEDIUM!