jwpk9899

95E.INVEST.20kts.1009mb.14.1N.114.5W

马鞍二世

2. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE WHILE IT MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

马鞍二世

TXPZ25 KNES 230019
TCSENP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)

B. 23/0000Z

C. 15.1N

D. 114.4W

E. FIVE/GOES-W

F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...CIRCULATION OF 95E IS WELL DEFINED AND SYMMETRIC HOWEVER
CONVECTION IS VERY SHALLOW AND WARM BARELY REACHING LG WITH LIMITED
BANDING THOUGH SIMILAR TO AN IRREGULAR CDO PATTERN BUT NOT QUITE...AS
SUCH BANDING IS LESS THAN .2 FOR DT LESS THAN 1.0. MET IS 1.0. SYSTEM
HAS GOOD PATTERN AND AS SUCH PT IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON MET.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...GALLINA

马鞍二世

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 23 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.  

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED
DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE-E TO THE EAST...AND ALSO DUE TO UNFAVORABLE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CREATED BY THE DEPRESSION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR EAST AT 5 TO
10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON THREE-E
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMEP3.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN

马鞍二世

撤编，有作蝎虎儿子的趋势，正被并吞中