t02436

  中度颱風  
   編號  : 1320 ( 19W )
   名稱  : 帕布 ( PABUK )

  基本資料  
　擾動編號日期  : 2013 年 9 月14 日 22 時
　命名日期         : 2013 年 9 月 21 日 14 時
　消散日期         : 2013 年 9 月 27 日 08 時
　登陸地點         : 無

  巔峰時期資料  
　近中心最強風速
　中央氣象局 (CWB) :   33  m/s (    12  級 )
　日本氣象廳 (JMA)  :   30  m/s (    60 kts )
　美國海軍 (JTWC)    :    90  kts  (   CAT 2  )

                                                   
　最低氣壓與暴風圈半徑
　海平面最低氣壓 :   970  百帕
　七級風半徑       ：  150  公里
　十級風半徑       ：   50   公里

  過去路徑圖  

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颱風最新發展衛星影像

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98W.INVEST.15Kts-1010mb-12.5N-152.0E

以上資料來自 : CWB、JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇編輯製作

1431036707

已评级low(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.3N 148.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 227 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVERGENT NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT SCATTEROMETRY PASS DEPICTS A
WEAK LLCC IN THE AREA INDICATED ABOVE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF A TUTT CELL WHICH IS
CURRENTLY HAMPERING POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
WEAK TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) AND OFFSET BY GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. THE CURRENT VORTICITY SIGNATURE IS FAIRLY ELONGATED AND HAS
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

krichard2011

底層目前看起來是一盤散沙
結構相當鬆散 幅合與幅散也均不佳
還有待加強 不過部分數值還是支持它成旋
但也不排除是其他擾動

正宜27

日本氣象廳預測48小時後將成為T.D

martin191919

JTWC  MEDIUM
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.1N 148.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 149.5E, APPROXIMATELY
277 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER
VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVED DEEP
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT SCATTEROMETRY PASS INDICATES A WEAKER
LLCC WITH STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS (20 TO 25 KNOTS) ALONG
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE VORTICITY SIGNATURE IS BROAD AND
ELONGATED, LOCATED OVER THE AREA OF THE DISTURBANCE. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR WITH FAVORABLE OUTFLOW DUE TO THE TUTT CELL LOCATED
TO THE NORTHEAST. DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AGGRESSIVELY
DEVELOPES A MODERATE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 TO 72 HOURS.   
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

Meow

終於成為熱低了



TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY.

sh991016

日本氣象廳發GW囉!!~

Meow

熱帯低気圧
平成25年09月19日16時30分 発表

<19日15時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
中心位置        北緯 14度00分(14.0度)
東経 148度30分(148.5度)
進行方向、速さ        西北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1004hPa
最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<20日15時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
予報円の中心        北緯 15度05分(15.1度)
東経 147度50分(147.8度)
進行方向、速さ        北北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        998hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        220km(120NM)