t02436

92E.INVEST-20kts-1009mb-14.7N-95.0W
擾動編號日期:2013年 9 月 24 日21時
擾動消散日期:2013年10月 01 日


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t02436

Low!
48hr 20%
5days 60%

1.A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED SURFACETROUGH IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERNMEXICO. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED DURING THENEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN OFMEXICO...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MOREFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT BY LATE WEEK AND OVER THEWEEKEND.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A HIGH CHANCE...60PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVERPORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXTSEVERAL DAYS.