0908morakot

基本資料     
編號　　　　：06 F ( 91 P )
擾動編號日期：2015 年 12 月 23 日 21 時
消散日期　　：2015 年 12 月 29 日 09 時
91P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.5.7S.170.8W

t02436

FMS 06Z編號06F

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 06F [1002HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 11.0S 176.0W AT
270600UTC. TD06F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL REPORTS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTANT. ORGANISATION POOR. SYSTEM LIES JUST TO
THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS TO 700HPA. SST AROUND 30
DEGREE CELCIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR TD06F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.