AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 26.2S 153.1E, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTH OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) STARTING TO TRACK OFF THE EASTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN. ADDITIONALLY, WEAK BANDING FEATURES ARE BEGINNING TO WRAP ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC LACKS VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFF THE COAST ARE BETWEEN 28 AND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER AN ANTICYCLONE IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION AND WEAK MODEL DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. LOW~~~順便恭喜樓主搶到擾動 |