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01B.Fani 低緯發展北上爆發 近巔峰直襲印度東岸

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發佈時間: 2019-4-24 11:32

正文摘要:

  極強氣旋風暴   編號:BOB 02 ( 01 B ) 名稱:Fani   基本資料   擾動編號日期:2019 年 04 月 24 日 11 時 JTWC升格日期:2019 年 04 月 27 日 08 時 命名日期  :20 ...

蜜露 發表於 2019-5-4 23:02
本帖最後由 蜜露 於 2019-5-4 23:15 編輯



氣旋風暴法妮(強烈颱風等級) 重創了印度、孟加拉


至少有30人死於風災。


氣旋登陸了普里,衝擊了印度的著名神廟(Jagannath Temple)賈格納神廟。
這個廟是印度三大主神之一,毗濕奴的化身-宇宙之神黑天的廟。
才修築完工不久就考驗了氣旋的實力。


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神廟非常堅固沒事,而其他住戶沒那麼幸運,房屋屋頂吹走多棟。


FANIS-RAGE.jpg



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india.JPG


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india-weather-fani-cyclone_9a63907a-6e4d-11e9-adf4-e14f82ec3649.jpg



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t02436 發表於 2019-5-4 16:03
已進入孟加拉,03Z降深低壓。
tcacgraphic.png

20190504.0730.himawari-8.ircolor.01B.FANI.40kts.993mb.24.4N.89.6E.100pc.jpg

vis-animated.gif
蜜露 發表於 2019-5-3 19:51



昨天法妮的型態很好,維持不算很長,實際強度應該跟蝴蝶差不多而已。

2019IO01_4KMSRBDC_201905021415.jpg


201901B_wind_ssmis (1).gif



jrchang5 發表於 2019-5-3 18:44
IMD判定風眼於今(3)日0230Z至0430Z在奧里薩邦沿岸登陸,並於0600Z降為特強氣旋風暴。
IMG-1097.PNG IMG-1098.PNG IMG-1094.PNG IMG-1099.PNG 400A7F44-E6F5-49DB-9A3E-774FEA2158DC-820-000000A1D58FA18A.PNG F2024F4A-17DE-4861-BCCF-138BC7727A7C-820-000000A22968CC87.PNG

t02436 發表於 2019-5-3 11:18
登陸在即
20190503.0103.f17.91pct91h91v.01B.FANI.130kts.923mb.19N.85.5E.100pc.jpg

20190503.0250.himawari-8.vis.01B.FANI.130kts.923mb.19N.85.5E.100pc.jpg

01B_030000sair.jpg

rbtop-animated.gif

TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190503/0000Z
TC: FANI
NR: 25
PSN: N1906 E08530
MOV: NNE08KT
C: 0940HPA
MAX WIND: 100KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 03/0600Z N2000 E08554
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 90KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 03/1200Z N2048 E08624
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 80KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 03/1800Z N2136 E08654
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 70KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 04/0000Z N2224 E08724
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 60KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190503/0900Z
TOO: 030730 HRS IST
t02436 發表於 2019-5-2 22:49
12Z JTWC評價135節,IMD評115節!
WTIN01 DEMS 021315
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1200 UTC 02 MAY 2019.
PART:-I  STORM WARNING
THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM FANI (PRONOUNCED AS FONI) OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED FURTHER NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS WITH
ASPEED OF ABOUT 9 KNOTS IN LAST SIX HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0900 UTC
OF 02ND MAY, 2019 OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 17.1
DEG N AND LONGITUDE 84.8 DEG E, ABOUT 320 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PURI
(43053) (ODISHA), 170 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM (43150)
(ANDHRA PRADESH) AND 610 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIGHA (42901) (WEST
BENGAL).
THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO
125 KNOTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS PHENEOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 HPA (.)
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS ODISHA
COAST BETWEEN GOPALPUR (43049) AND CHANDBALI (42973), AROUND PURI
(43053) DURING 0300-0600 UTC TOMORROW THE 3RD MAY WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 90-95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. LANDFALL
PROCESS IS VERY LIKELY TO CONTINUE TILL 0900 UTC OF TOMORROW THE 3RD
MAY.
F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/05/02 AT 21 UTC 18.6 N / 85.3 E MAX WIND 100 KTS
EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/05/03 AT 09 UTC 20.2 N/ 86.0 E (OVERLAND)
MAX WIND SPEED 95 KTS EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)

io0119.gif

01B_021200sair.jpg
jrchang5 發表於 2019-5-2 17:33
本帖最後由 jrchang5 於 2019-5-2 17:36 編輯

JTWC判定02/06Z近中心最大風速達115kts,中心氣壓939hpa,已達辛普森颶風等級的C4。
01B FANI
As of 06:00 UTC May 02, 2019:

Location: 16.7°N 84.9°E
Maximum Winds: 115 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 939 mb
TPIO10 PGTW 020609

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI)

B. 02/0530Z

C. 16.68N

D. 84.86E

E. THREE/MET8

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS  STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. MG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. BOTH THE MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   02/0024Z  15.80N  84.62E  SSMS
   02/0117Z  15.93N  84.62E  SSMS
   02/0408Z  16.38N  84.87E  MMHS


   MILAM
io0119.gif

IMD則自01/12Z起至02/06Z止,均認定近中心最大風速為100kts,中心氣壓958hpa。是否稍晚會再提升強度仍有待繼續觀察。
IMG-1053.PNG IMG-1054.PNG IMG-1055.PNG ftrack.png tcacgraphic.png 20190502.0800.himawari-8.vis.01B.FANI.115kts.939mb.16.7N.84.9E.100pc.jpg 20190502.0900.himawari-8.ircolor.01B.FANI.115kts.939mb.16.7N.84.9E.100pc.jpg

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

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