(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.8N 131.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 129.9E, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 310457Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTIVE
BANDING DEVELOPING ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. THE ENVIRONMENT IS
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET
BY UNFAVORABLE CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE LLC.
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
TO CONSOLIDATE AND IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS TAIWAN OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.8N 131.0E, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS
A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FLANKED BY SPARSE CONVECTION
OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-
30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY CONVERGENT FLOW
ALOFT. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS TAIWAN
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
