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1613 瑪瑙 JMA根據實測升格命名 型態不佳

簽到天數: 474 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2016-9-2 10:50 | 顯示全部樓層
提示: 作者被禁止或刪除 內容自動屏蔽
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簽到天數: 161 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

asus5635|2016-9-3 07:58 | 顯示全部樓層
16090321.png
JMA預測今晚可以變成T.D

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高壓被捅了一刀又一刀....XD  發表於 2016-9-3 23:00
似乎還是往日本方向走  發表於 2016-9-3 12:04
日本五連發,朝突破2004年10颱紀錄努力中  發表於 2016-9-3 08:26
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簽到天數: 1976 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

ben811018|2016-9-4 11:40 | 顯示全部樓層
96W_gefs_latest.png 20160904.0156.mtb.ASCAT.wind.96W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb.230N.1274E.25km.jpg

LLCC狹長
數值仍看好發展
沿著高壓邊緣朝東北進行
週三開始影響近畿、中部及關東地區
影響程度也不小....

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南海上似乎亦有雲團欲發展。  發表於 2016-9-4 16:09
看來這次四國也有機會被掃到了  發表於 2016-9-4 13:03
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簽到天數: 3046 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2016-9-4 13:57 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級Low
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
22.4N 124.9E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKI-JIMA,
JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING
CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF SURFACE TROUGHING SEEN IN A 040156Z ASCAT
PASS. A 040101Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS LIMITED
CONVECTION WITH NO SIGNIFICANT BANDING. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
GOOD EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS MAINLAND JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND
MODEL DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

abpwsair.jpg

20160904.0157.mtb.ASCAT.wind.96W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb.224N.1249E.25km.jpg

96W_gefs_latest.png

rbtop-animated.gif
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簽到天數: 161 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

asus5635|2016-9-5 19:24 | 顯示全部樓層
CWB:TD

I04_small.jpg

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簽到天數: 161 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

asus5635|2016-9-5 22:06 | 顯示全部樓層
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 22.4N 124.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY
180 NM SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 050532Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
SHOWS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION WITH BANDING BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE
ALOFT AND LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 2-3
DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS MAINLAND JAPAN.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO
IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION AND A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.



abpwsair.jpg
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簽到天數: 221 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

小vin|2016-9-5 22:10 | 顯示全部樓層
小J發GW了~
a-00.png
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簽到天數: 161 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

asus5635|2016-9-5 23:23 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA:SW

16090521.png

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請問一下,日本氣象廳的「W」、「SW」、「GW」差在哪裡?有其他的WARNING嗎?  詳情 回復 發表於 2016-9-6 19:32
如果這個系統最後日本直接變成Developing Low(Storm Warning)而非命名颱風就好玩了。不過個人認為JTWC不會編號1XW的可能性非常大…。  發表於 2016-9-6 01:30
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