開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

91W 登陸越南

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2020-10-5 09:56 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :91 W
擾動編號日期:2020 10 05 09
撤編日期  :2020 10 00 00
91W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-15N-115E

20201005.0120.himawari-8.vis.91W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.15N.115E.100pc.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-10-6 23:34 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-10-7 01:38 編輯

JTWC1530Z評級Low,但對於環流龐大且鬆散的91W來說要在登陸越南前成旋時間已經有限
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
12.3N 111.6E, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTHEAST OF DANANG, VIETNAM.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 060941Z SSMIS
91GHZ IMAGE REVEAL A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH WEAK FORMATIVE
BANDING IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 91W IS CURRENTLY IN A
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH BROAD UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-
30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES; HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE
INVEST 91W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD AND CONSOLIDATE SLIGHTLY
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN 12-18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

20201006.145500.terra.modis.Infrared.tc2091WINVEST.covg100p0.modislance.res1km.jpg
abpwsair.jpg 91W_tracks_latest.png


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-10-8 00:18 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC1530Z取消評級
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.5N 110.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

abpwsair.jpg 20201007.1550.himawari-8.ir.91W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.12.4N.109.3E.100pc.jpg
20201007.1140.gpm.89pct89h89v.91W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.12.5N.110.7E.055pc.jpg
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表