frintezza

15.3S, 179.3E, 跟前91P有關連?

mustang

Medium!!    螺旋性發展中！

frintezza

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S
159.0E [1], IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.0S 175.7E [2], APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AND
DECOUPLED FROM THE MAIN CONVECTION BY OVER 200 NM. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CYCLONE HAS DRIFTED FURTHER SOUTH FROM THE
RIDGE AXIS INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK FURTHER POLEWARD
INTO AN AREA OF EVEN GREATER VWS. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE DECREASING TO BELOW 27 DEGREES CELSIUS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. IN VIEW
OF THE DETERIORATING ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.

93P降為LOW, 但是...
[1]明明就是95P的位置, 怎麼突然走這麼遠變成[2] 93P的位置啊?

frintezza

LLCC外露, 但好美


順便貼這張上來, 看會不會自動更新, 因為JTWC暫停服務, 看不到擾動評級了

陳樂庭

:):):)