【大西】12L LESLIE 登陸[加拿大][紐芬蘭-拉布拉多] 轉為溫低

... · 2012-8-29 07:32

本帖最後由 jwpk9899 於 2012-9-15 11:43 編輯

--------------原文--------------------------
已經編號了只是詳細未出

稍後補充

11.9N 28.0W
MEDIUM-30%

-----------------------巔峰資料---------------------
一級颶風
12L.Leslie

氣壓:968毫巴

強度:65kts(12級風)

桑達 · 2012-8-29 08:59

目前風切看起來還不錯...
窩度...一部分泛澄了

幅合看起來不錯..

幅散也是不錯....

jwpk9899 · 2012-8-29 17:15

順便記一下定位以後比較好做路徑圖 11.9N-32.7W 25kts

1. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
ABOUT 550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.

frintezza · 2012-8-30 12:37

70% + TCFA了
雲系開始組織起來, 環境良好

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

jwpk9899 · 2012-8-30 20:16

100%了即將升格定位:13.9N-41.3W

1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY
FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE INITIATED
LATER THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.