|
|
1722133|2013-8-25 10:28
|
顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 1722133 於 2013-8-25 10:30 編輯
成颱機會很大!
ABPW10 PGTW 250230MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/250130Z-250600ZAUG2013//REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZAUG2013//REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250121ZAUG2013//NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C (PEWA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 166.7E, APPROXIMATELY 552 NM NORTHWARD OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 132.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 130.0E, APPROXIMATELY 565 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, BASED ON AN OLDER 241452Z OSCAT PASS. ALTHOUGH THE WIND SPEEDS REMAIN WEAKER NEAR THE CENTER, THE IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASED VENTILATION OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN COMBINATION WITH FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, THE POSSIBILITY FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. CURRENTLY MUCH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVING OVERALL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 250130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH AND ISSUED FINAL WARNING FOR AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1).//NNNN
|
本帖子中包含更多資源
您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看，沒有賬號？立即加入
x
|
