簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2015-4-22 11:44
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JTWC評級Low
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.5S 154.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST OF WILLIS ISLAND. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A
CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10 TO 15 KNOTS) UNDER AN AREA OF
DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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