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asus5635|2015-9-23 06:46
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WTPA45 PHFO 222031
TCDCP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MALIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP052015
1100 AM HST TUE SEP 22 2015
MALIA HAS BEEN A LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR
THE CENTER FOR ALMOST 24 HOURS. THUS...MALIA IS BEING DECLARED A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW. THE CYCLONE IS CROSSING THE SST GRADIENT
TOWARD MUCH COOLER WATER AND THE CIMSS 1800 UTC ANALYSIS SHOWED
ABOUT 42 KT OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SO REDEVELOPMENT IS HIGHLY
UNLIKELY. FURTHERMORE...THE CENTER IS MOVING AT 345/16 KT TOWARD A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEST OF THE DATELINE. THE
REMNANTS OF MALIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY THIS LARGER LOW
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE INITIAL WIND
FIELD WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT 30 TO 35 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN
QUADRANT DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN MALIA/S REMNANT
AND A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THESE
WINDS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE REMNANT LOW SPINS DOWN.
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY PACKAGE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON MALIA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOHSFNP AND WMO HEADER
FZPN40 PHFO.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 29.7N 173.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 32.6N 174.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
看來他應該是沒辦法跨過來了www
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