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熱帶低氣壓25E（二十五）警告＃01
發佈於02 / 2200Z

• TC警告文字
• WTPN31 PHNC 022200MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020121ZNOV2018//AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.RMKS/1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25E (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY    ---   WARNING POSITION:   021800Z --- NEAR 14.3N 109.2W     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N 109.2W    ---   FORECASTS:   12 HRS, VALID AT:   030600Z --- 14.7N 108.3W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS    ---   24 HRS, VALID AT:   031800Z --- 15.2N 107.6W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS    ---   36 HRS, VALID AT:   040600Z --- 15.9N 107.1W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS    ---   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:   48 HRS, VALID AT:   041800Z --- 16.7N 107.0W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS    ---   72 HRS, VALID AT:   051800Z --- 17.5N 107.4W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS    ---   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:    ---   96 HRS, VALID AT:   061800Z --- 17.8N 109.0W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS    ---   120 HRS, VALID AT:   071800Z --- 18.0N 111.5W   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   POST-TROP/REMNT LOW    ---REMARKS:022200Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 108.9W.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25E (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1185NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTSOVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z, 031000Z, 031600Z AND 032200Z.2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 020130).//NNNN
  

熱帶氣旋形成警報WTPN21
發佈於02 / 0130Z
WTPN21 PHNC 020130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4N 110.9W TO 16.4N 108.2W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 020000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 13.8N 110.6W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94E) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.8N 110.6W, APPROXIMATELY 338 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED (AEIR) IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
(LLC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS IS
SUPPORTED BY A 012112Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE THAT ALSO REVEALS
FORMATIVE BANDING TO THE NORTH OF THE LLC. A 011702Z METOP-B PARTIAL
ASCAT PASS SHOWS VERY ELONGATED TROUGHING WITH A SWATH OF 20 TO 25
KNOT WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE LLC. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS
GENERALLY FAVORABLE WITH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES OF 10 TO 15
KNOTS AND STRONG DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS. REGIONAL SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT 28 TO 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
TRACK GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA
WITH MODERATE INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
030130Z.//NNNN