(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
4.6N 166.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 169.8E, APPROXIMATELY 407 NM EAST
OF KOSRAE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120510Z
HIMAWARI-9 VISIBLE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FORMATIVE
SHALLOW BANDS OF CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LLCC.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 96W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, HIGH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31C), AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96W WILL CONTINUE
TO CONSOLIDATE AND FURTHER DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
4.6N 166.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 169.8E, APPROXIMATELY 407 NM EAST
OF KOSRAE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120510Z
HIMAWARI-9 VISIBLE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FORMATIVE
SHALLOW BANDS OF CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LLCC.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 96W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, HIGH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31C), AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96W WILL CONTINUE
TO CONSOLIDATE AND FURTHER DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
組圖打開中，請稍候......