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09S.Emang 雲系幾近散架

查看數: 13130 評論數: 23 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2012-12-27 16:18

正文摘要:

frintezza 發表於 2013-1-22 15:42
既然已撒編, 我就貼一張說好的路徑圖 (12/27 12 UTC 至 1/21 06 UTC), 兩點之間相隔6小時

不懂怎樣+地圖, 但在廣闊海洋上沒差吧
可是用NRL定位畫出來怪怪的, 特別是TS的時候

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Typhoon 發表於 2013-1-19 17:57
這個擾動創了一個路徑最怪異同時強度來回呈現的記錄,
:D
frintezza 發表於 2013-1-19 14:31
外遊後回來了

Emang還沒撤編喔, 而且不知在哪個時候, 再次被評為LOW

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 09S) LOCATED NEAR15.2S 74.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 70.9E, APPROXIMATELY 510 NMSOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWSA FULLY EXPOSED, POORLY DEFINED, AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC) WITH SCATTERED SHALLOW CONVECTION MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THELLCC. THIS IS READILY EVIDENT ON A 181337Z SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS.RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA SHOWS WEAK (05-10 KNOT) WINDS OVER THENORTHERN PORTION OF THE LLCC AND 20 TO 25 KNOT GRADIENT WINDS FEEDINGINTO THE SOUTHERN HALF. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATEVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-20 KNOTS) WITH MINIMAL OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACETEMPERATURES IN THE AREA ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AT 26 TO 27 DEGREESCELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB.DUE TO THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FORREDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS REMAINS LOW.

大致上就說Emang LLCC外露, 對流鬆散並集中在LLCC北面, 風切中等, 輻散微弱

看它還能撐多久

開梅 發表於 2013-1-17 00:27
也實在是很誇張,西太平洋我找到醞釀期最長者,目前也才6天,這個遠遠超越這項紀錄了

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