開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

95W

簽到天數: 2414 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2017-7-29 13:22 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 0908morakot 於 2017-7-31 11:03 編輯

基本資料   
編號    :95 W
擾動編號日期:2017 07 29 13
撤編日期  :2017 07 31 08
95W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.28N.161.9E

20170729.0430.himawari-8.vis.95W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.28N.161.9E.100pc.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
king111807 + 15

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 5 天

[LV.2]偶爾看看I

rickywang|2017-7-29 14:18 | 顯示全部樓層
這要看海水溫度夠不夠高了
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 3279 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2017-7-29 19:51 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級Medium
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 28.2N 161.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 700 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE AND A 290337Z SSMI 85GHZ DEPICT A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED AND BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
CONVECTIVE BANDING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET
BY DECENT OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28 TO 30 C). A
282246Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A FEW 20 KNOT WIND BARBS ON THE PERIPHERY
OF VERY PRONOUNCED TROUGHING INDICATIVE OF CIRCULATION FORMING SOON.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT SYSTEM WILL CONSOLIDATE AND MOVE
IN A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS MEDIUM.

abpwsair.jpg

LATEST.jpg

95W_gefs_latest.png

20170729.1110.himawari-8.ircolor.95W.INVEST.20kts.1003mb.28.2N.161.4E.100pc.jpg

點評

強度25kts.1000hpa.sst28度.風切30kts.一路北上,頂多再2天就要轉化了.  發表於 2017-7-29 21:01
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 5 天

[LV.2]偶爾看看I

rickywang|2017-7-31 00:01 | 顯示全部樓層
緯度偏高  要看自己造化了
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表