霧峰追風者

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：94 A
擾動編號日期：2018 年 05 月 27 日 13 時
撤編日期　　：2018 年 05 月 29 日 22 時
94A-INVEST.15kts-996mb-11.0N-73.4E

霧峰追風者

JTWC 02Z評級Low

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INV 94A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.7N
71.9E, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 272306Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT MIDLEVEL TURNING IN FLARING CONVECTION COVERING A WEAK LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION. WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT IS SUPPORTING THE
PERSISTENT LARGE MASS OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
REMAINS HIGH (25-30 KTS) OVER MUCH OF THE CONVECTION. SSTS ARE WARM
(28-29C) IN THE ARABIAN SEA AND WILL SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW WEAK-MODERATE DEVELOPMENT BEFORE TAU 24 AS THE
SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS INDIA, WITH SOME VARIATION IN MOVEMENT AND
SPEED AFFECTING DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.