1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 101430). THE AREA OF
CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 111.8E IS NOW
LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 111.1E, APPROXIMATELY 170NM WEST OF HONG KONG.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 111035Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE
REVEAL THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS IT HAS MOVED
FURTHER INLAND. THE CONVECTION REMAINS SCATTERED WITH NO DEFINED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-20 KTS). SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
WARM (28-29C) IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT THE
SYSTEM REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME
MODELS SHOWING THE SYSTEM MOVING BACK OVER WATER WHERE IT QUICKLY
DEVELOPS AND TRACKS TO THE WEST TOWARD HAINAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. IN VIEW OF THE UNFAVORABLE
FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM, IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM.//
