twty

目前在關島附近有個熱帶擾動９６Ｗ正在發展，日本氣象廳已升格為熱帶低壓，型態不差，是否有更進一步的發展空間，要多留意。　預計９６Ｗ將偏西移動，週四(17)～日(20)之間，就在台灣東南方附近活動，此時會帶來更多水氣，加上東北風持續吹，「北部、東部更容易下雨」，並可能出現較大雨勢。　中、南部基本上不受影響，維持晴朗、空氣不好的天氣。　南北天氣差很大！-----圖資：RAMMB、CWB、EC編輯：陳柏宏

霧峰追風者

JTWC 評級提升至Medium。

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.1N 135.3E, APPROXIMATELY 837 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 150435Z ATMS
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING BROAD LLCC WITH FORMATIVE
BANDING AND PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS
96W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (<15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96W
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD LUZON WITH SLOW
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.