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TD15(17W) JMA:TD[W] 轉化溫氣

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-3 06:17 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC不再上望TS
wp1721 (1).gif 17W_021800sair.jpg
20210902.1955.f17.91pct91h91v.17W.SEVENTEEN.30kts.1002mb.29N.158.2E.070pc.jpg 20210902.0933.mta.ASCAT.wind.17W.SEVENTEEN.30kts-1004mb.271N.1589E.25km.noqc.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-4 04:11 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC發布Final Warning wp1721 (2).gif 17W_031800sair.jpg
20210903.1756.f16.91pct91h91v.17W.SEVENTEEN.25kts.1004mb.32.9N.159.6E.075pc.jpg 17W_b13.gif

WTPN31 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 008   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   031800Z --- NEAR 32.9N 159.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N 159.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z --- 36.0N 162.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z --- 39.0N 166.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 33.7N 160.3E.
03SEP21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
997 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST-WARD AT 18
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK AND IRREGULAR SYSTEM WITH THE MAIN
CONVECTION SHEARED 50NM+ FROM A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
(LLC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON
THE LLC FEATURE IN THE EIR LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T1.5/25 KTS AND REFLECTS THE 6-HR
DETERIORATION. TD 17W HAS DRIFTED INTO HIGH (25KTS+) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND COOLER (26C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AS IT ACCELERATED
NORTHEASTWARD ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE STEERING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TO THE SOUTHEAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 12 AS THE
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WORSEN. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 11 FEET.//
NNNN
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-4 08:07 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC21Z分析DT0.0 17W_BAND01.gif 17W_RBTOP.gif

TPPN10 PGTW 032112

A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (NW OF WAKE ISLAND)

B. 03/2050Z

C. 33.80N

D. 159.64E

E. FIVE/HMWRI8

F. T1.0/1.5/W1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO PRLY ORGNZD LLCC/ANMTN. SHEAR YIELDS A DT
OF 0.0.
MET AND PT YIELD A 1.0. DBO PT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


   BERMEA

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-4 10:38 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-9-4 10:43 編輯

CWB00Z認定其已減弱為低氣壓(系統於下圖中右上角)

03/18Z
2021-0903-1800_SFCcombo.jpg

04/00Z

2021-0904-0000_SFCcombo.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-4 10:44 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA則持續認定TD[W]
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA
AT 34.9N 159.4E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NNE 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
20210904022901_0_Z__C_010000_20210904000000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png 20210903.2252.mtb.ASCAT.wind.17W.SEVENTEEN.25kts-1004mb.329N.1596E.25km.jpg 20210903.2344.mtc.ASCAT.wind.17W.SEVENTEEN.20kts-1006mb.345N.1604E.25km.noqc.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-5 01:17 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA12Z判定已消散

20210904110900_0_Z__C_010000_20210904090000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png 20210904140800_0_Z__C_010000_20210904120000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png

20210904.1200.himawari-8.ir.17W.SEVENTEEN.20kts.1007mb.36.3N.162E.100pc.jpg
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