霧峰追風者

基本資料  
編號　　　　：96 S
擾動編號日期：2022 年 03 月 29 日 01 時
撤編日期　　：2022 年 03 月 00 日 00 時
96S.INVEST.20kts-1006mb-13.5S-106E

霧峰追風者

JTWC 評級提升Medium。

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.8S 110.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.7S 111.6E, APPROXIMATELY
250 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 310225Z METOP-B PASS REVEALS 25KT WINDS
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY ROBUST POLEWARD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 96S WILL TRACK SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA
AS IT INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.