簽到天數: 3279 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2023-1-5 22:49
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(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.0S
141.5E, APPROXIMATELY 255 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY ORGANIZING
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION IN
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND,
MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE SYSTEM EMERGES OVER WATER. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL TRACK EASTWARD AND EMERGE
OVER THE CORAL SEA WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS LOW.
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