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2603 鸚鵡 風切干擾 短暫發展

簽到天數: 4652 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

alu|2026-3-12 15:38 | 顯示全部樓層


減弱為熱帶性低氣壓

PTA_202603120000-12_TD03_zhtw.png


熱帶性低氣壓TD03
(原鸚鵡颱風)
現況
2026年03月12日08時

中心位置在北緯 10.1 度,東經 138.4 度
過去移動方向 南
過去移動時速 24公里
中心氣壓 1000百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 15 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 23 公尺
預測
預測 6 小時平均移向移速為

東 時速 9 公里
預測 03月12日14時
中心位置在北緯 10.1 度,東經 138.9 度
中心氣壓1002百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 15 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 23 公尺
70%機率半徑 50 公里
預測 6-12 小時平均移向移速為

東北東 時速 15 公里
預測 03月12日20時
中心位置在北緯 10.3 度,東經 139.7 度
中心氣壓1005百帕
近中心最大風速每秒 10 公尺
瞬間最大陣風每秒 15 公尺
70%機率半徑 100 公里
預測 12 小時內減弱為低氣壓

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簽到天數: 3486 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-3-21 13:35 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC升格03W

WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251ZMAR2026//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110000Z --- NEAR 10.4N 136.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 136.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z --- 10.2N 137.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z --- 10.8N 138.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 11.7N 139.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z --- 13.3N 141.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 17.8N 147.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 136.9E.
11MAR26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 94
NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 110000Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 100300).//
NNNN
03W.gif
03W.jpg
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簽到天數: 3486 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-3-21 13:36 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA降格TD

台風第3号(ヌーリ)
2026年03月12日09時45分発表

12日09時の実況
種別        熱帯低気圧
大きさ        -
強さ        -
存在地域        フィリピンの東
中心位置        北緯10度00分 (10.0度)
東経138度00分 (138.0度)
進行方向、速さ        ほとんど停滞
中心気圧        1002 hPa


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簽到天數: 3486 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

king111807|2026-3-21 13:39 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC發布FW

WTPN31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI) WARNING NR 005   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   120000Z --- NEAR 10.3N 138.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 138.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 10.4N 139.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z --- 11.1N 140.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 10.3N 138.4E.
12MAR26. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
448 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN TIPS OF A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
A TIMELY 120017Z ASCAT CENTER PASS REVEALED AN ELONGATED CENTER,
CHARACTERIZED BY 20 KNOT WINDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION, WITH SOME
HIGHER 25 KNOT RAIN-FLAGGED VALUES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CONVECTION. AN
112031Z MWI 37GHZ COLOR ENHANCED IMAGE ALSO CONFIRMS THE BROADENING OF
THE WEAK LLCC. THE 1200Z BEST TRACK POSITION WAS ADJUSTED
APPROXIMATELY 55 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ITS PREVIOUS POSITION BASED ON
NEW MSI AND ASCAT DATA, INDICATING TD NURI HAS TRACKED IN A
SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION WITH THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (VWS) HAS INCREASED TO 26 KNOTS IN THE LATEST CIMSS SHEAR
PRODUCT, AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS VWS WILL ULTIMATELY RESULT IN THE
DISSIPATION OF TD 03W OVER WATER BY TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
120000Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN
FW.gif
FW.jpg
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