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【墨灣】93L MEDIUM

簽到天數: 195 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

2011-10-10 06:48 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 ... 於 2011-10-10 08:07 編輯

20111009.2215.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.93LINVEST.35kts-1007mb-274N-794W.100pc.jpg
atl1.gif
93L.INVEST
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SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A LOWPRESSURE AREA HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE FLORIDA EASTCOAST AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCINGGALE-FORCE WINDS FROM NEAR THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST EASTWARDOVER THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. SHOWER ACTIVITY HASBECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVERTHE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE ASTHE DISTURBANCE MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH ACROSSTHE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICODURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLYHEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THESOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES TODAY AND MONDAY. FOR ADDITIONALINFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BYYOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
20111009.2215.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.93LINVEST.35kts-1007mb-274N-794W.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +10 收起 理由
jwpk9899 + 10 中心看起來空空的ˇ_ˇ

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簽到天數: 498 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

...|2011-10-10 08:04 | 顯示全部樓層
這結構....基本上應該是副熱帶錯不了 而目前已經給到MEDIUM
(給各位 下次看到多少% 請注意 30%以下是LOW 30%~50%是MEDIUM 50%以上就是HIGH 但是TCFA通常是70%以上才發
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簽到天數: 498 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

...|2011-10-10 19:12 | 顯示全部樓層
來看看nrl給他的風速......40kts!!這似乎真的是副熱帶系統
到是他中心在哪我就搞不清楚了.....
20111010_1045_goes13_x_ir1km_bw_93LINVEST_40kts-1002mb-289N-812W_100pc.jpg
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