【印度】02B Nilam 登陸印度 FW

jwpk9899 · 2012-10-28 00:18

本帖最後由 jwpk9899 於 2012-10-28 00:19 編輯

傳說DARK 發表於 2012-10-27 23:24
等等所以目前的編號還是93W嗎？

那之後命名要怎麼命名啊？

有這樣的例子
前幾年南海出了個低緯的99W
後來進入孟灣還增強到Cat1 登陸印度
命名的話是用北印那的名稱所以編號也就是02B囉(前提是他沒掛掉或進阿拉伯海)
如果跑進阿拉伯海就變...02A(還是01A 我也搞不懂了...)

jwpk9899 · 2012-10-28 10:58

IMD的報文中有提到93W
93W已經形成低壓區
定位在12N-91E(這...難道是昨天的定位? 沒雲阿...)
孟加拉灣東南部也有高空反氣旋建立
預計未來24小時該系統將更加明顯(指強度??
--------------------------原文------------------------------
A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED WITH IN HALF DEGREE OF LAT
12.0N/91.0E, INTENSITY T1.0, OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND
NEIGHBOURHOOD.THE ASSOCIATED UPPER AIR CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL. THE SYSTEM WOULD BECOME MORE MARKED DURING NEXT
24 HOURS.

... · 2012-10-28 11:14

本帖最後由 ... 於 2012-10-28 11:15 編輯

快訊 93W TCFA
但是老美還是不打算換編號?!

桑達 · 2012-10-28 19:08

目前風速25KTS 窩度泛紅幅合幅散都很好
EC的預估的強度也有上調

jwpk9899 · 2012-10-28 21:19

IMD升格BOB2
BOB 02/2012/01 Dated: 28.10. 2012
Time of issue: 1500 hours IST
Sub: Depression over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal.
Latest satellite imagery and current Buoy observations indicate that a depression has
formed over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal and lay centred at 1130 hrs
IST of today, the 28th
October 2012 near latitude 9.50
N and longitude 86.0
0
E, about 730 km
southeast of Chennai (Tamilnadu) and 550 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (Srilanka). The
system would intensify into a deep depression and move initially westwards towards Tamil
Nadu coast.

桑達 · 2012-10-29 19:03

BOB2....IMD的路徑圖找的好久 IMD認為會行成氣旋他的底層....是好還是壞呢??螺旋性看起來滿好的

jwpk9899 · 2012-10-29 21:02

好的 IMD和JTWC的定位似乎不太相同 JTWC比較靠近斯里蘭卡 IMD則東邊一點
目前IMD預估未來向西南轉北北西再轉西北然後撞進印度本島
另外 IMD今天已經將強度從低氣壓升到深低壓並預估未來有機會升格為氣旋風暴
不過強度並不是太看好估計只有38kt...
另外，JMD疑似發布氣旋警報
Sub:  Deep Depression(深低壓) over southwest Bay of Bengal: Cyclone Alert for North Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry and adjoining South Andhra Pradesh coasts

E, about 550
km South-Southeast of Chennai (43279)  and 200 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (43418). the system would
intensify  further  into  a  cyclonic  storm(一段時間後將加強為氣旋風暴)  and  move  west-southwestwards  for  some  more  time  and  then  move
northwestwards and cross north Tamil Nadu and adjoining south Andhra Pradesh coast between Nagapattinam and
Nellore by 31
st