簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2013-11-14 20:26
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老J投降再發TCFA!
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 114.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 113.1E, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH IMPROVING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN FLANK. A 140748Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS AN IMPROVEMENT IN THE DEFINITION OF THE LLCC AS DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO WRAP ALONG THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CICLE OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT AS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS SLIGHTLY RELAXED TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS) LEVELS WHICH IS COUNTERING DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVEMENT IN LOW-LEVEL STRUCTURE AND INCREASE IN CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
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