簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2014-2-21 13:46
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不用等囉~~~XD
馬上重評LOW
只是對流還是有點貧乏
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.2N 151.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEFINED, PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 210358Z
NOAA-19 IMAGE INDICATES FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO
THE LLCC. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM CHUUK SHOW LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS
WITH SLP NEAR 1004 MB WITH 24-HOUR SLP DECREASE OF 1.5 MB. THE LLCC
IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS
WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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