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JMA 仍維持 TD。
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07N 119E WSW SLOWLY.
另外,JTWC 發布評級,認為一天內發展為熱低的機會為低。
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TD 23W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 121.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 119.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND WELL
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS DEVOID OF ANY
DEEP, ORGANIZED CONVECTION. A RECENT 010210Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED 15
TO 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE LLCC WITH A LARGE 20 KNOT WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. |
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