簽到天數: 3280 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2015-10-8 13:42
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JTWC評級Low
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF 08C) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.4N 172.2E, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
A 080258Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A SHALLOW SYSTEM WITH A SMALL
AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR; HOWEVER, A TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST IS CAUSING SUBSIDENCE
AND LIMITED OUTFLOW. NUMERIC MODELS DO NOT INDICATE ANY SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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