簽到天數: 3291 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2019-5-2 22:49
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12Z JTWC評價135節，IMD評115節！
WTIN01 DEMS 021315
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1200 UTC 02 MAY 2019.
PART:-I STORM WARNING
THE EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM FANI (PRONOUNCED AS FONI) OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED FURTHER NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS WITH
ASPEED OF ABOUT 9 KNOTS IN LAST SIX HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0900 UTC
OF 02ND MAY, 2019 OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 17.1
DEG N AND LONGITUDE 84.8 DEG E, ABOUT 320 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PURI
(43053) (ODISHA), 170 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM (43150)
(ANDHRA PRADESH) AND 610 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIGHA (42901) (WEST
BENGAL).
THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO
125 KNOTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS PHENEOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 939 HPA (.)
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS ODISHA
COAST BETWEEN GOPALPUR (43049) AND CHANDBALI (42973), AROUND PURI
(43053) DURING 0300-0600 UTC TOMORROW THE 3RD MAY WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 90-95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. LANDFALL
PROCESS IS VERY LIKELY TO CONTINUE TILL 0900 UTC OF TOMORROW THE 3RD
MAY.
F/C POSITION AND INTENSITY
12 HRS VALID 2019/05/02 AT 21 UTC 18.6 N / 85.3 E MAX WIND 100 KTS
EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)
24 HRS VALID 2019/05/03 AT 09 UTC 20.2 N/ 86.0 E (OVERLAND)
MAX WIND SPEED 95 KTS EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (.)
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