1413 金娜薇史上第七個東太跨洋旋

Meow · 2014-8-7 05:01

底層風眼驚為天人！CPHC 已上望三級颱風（100 節），但可能還不止。

asus5635 · 2014-8-7 07:03

美軍最新一報上看115kts

CPHC的預測路徑又稍微調整了

krichard2011 · 2014-8-7 07:23

本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-8-7 07:26 編輯

早上起來果然有驚喜結構相當漂亮
只差風眼還有待清空清空完之後應該就很完美了
下午直接以中颱跨進來應該是完全沒有問題了
T值也爆衝6.0 不排除下一報美軍有機會直接給 115 KT
如果順利的話當地入夜對流引爆 CDG還給他建立起來
不排除連125KT以上都可以給她挑戰一下
要是這樣的話也不排除再挑戰強颱直接跨洋
當然這是很樂觀的想法純欣賞用的無害颱就算強一點也沒有關係
可以大自然藝術的角度來欣賞這個系統 @@

t02436 · 2014-8-7 09:12

00Z速報給出100KT
MH(C3)達陣
現在差0.9個經度就會進入西太

EP, 07, 2014080700, , BEST, 0, 137N, 1791W, 100, 965, HU, 64, NEQ, 40, 20, 20, 30, 1006, 220, 40, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, GENEVIEVE, D,

底層相當扎實

高層眼持續清空當中

ADT持續飆升中
            CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
            5.8 / 951.6mb/109.8kt
            Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T#
               5.8    6.1    6.4

t02436 · 2014-8-7 10:56

本帖最後由 t02436 於 2014-8-7 10:57 編輯

GENEVIEVE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE INTO THE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY OF RSMC TOKYO TONIGHT. THE NEXT FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC TOKYO. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
GUAM AND DOD WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/0300Z 14.1N 179.7W  115 KT 135 MPH
12H  07/1200Z 15.1N 178.3E  115 KT 135 MPH
24H  08/0000Z 16.4N 176.4E  120 KT 140 MPH
36H  08/1200Z 17.9N 175.2E  120 KT 140 MPH
48H  09/0000Z 20.1N 175.0E  115 KT 135 MPH
72H  10/0000Z 25.8N 174.1E  110 KT 125 MPH
96H  11/0000Z 31.0N 171.0E 80 KT  90 MPH
120H  12/0000Z 36.0N 168.0E 50 KT  60 MPH

03Z再調升至115KT
剩0.3個經度
下一報轉交JMA發報

CX723-A330 · 2014-8-7 10:58

CPHC最後一報上看120kts
下一報將由JMA發報

GENEVIEVE IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE INTO THE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY OF RSMC TOKYO TONIGHT. THE NEXT FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC TOKYO. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
GUAM AND DOD WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/0300Z 14.1N 179.7W  115 KT 135 MPH
12H  07/1200Z 15.1N 178.3E  115 KT 135 MPH
24H  08/0000Z 16.4N 176.4E  120 KT 140 MPH
36H  08/1200Z 17.9N 175.2E  120 KT 140 MPH
48H  09/0000Z 20.1N 175.0E  115 KT 135 MPH
72H  10/0000Z 25.8N 174.1E  110 KT 125 MPH
96H  11/0000Z 31.0N 171.0E 80 KT  90 MPH
120H  12/0000Z 36.0N 168.0E 50 KT  60 MPH

Meow · 2014-8-7 11:19

看看 100 節的雙 SW！

STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 100 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS
BOUNDED BY 20N 173E 20N 180E 17N 180E 17N 173E 20N 173E
FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 100 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS
BOUNDED BY 17N 173E 17N 180E 13N 180E 13N 173E 17N 173E
FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.