0908morakot

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：12 F ( 92 P )
擾動編號日期：2017 年 02 月 17 日 11 時
撤編日期　　：2017 年 02 月 21 日 10 時
92P.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.21.1S.175.2W

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12F CENTRE [1005HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 21.2S 175.0W
AT 162300UTC.
POSITION GOOD BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 VIS IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE
OBSERVATION. TD12F MOVING NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KNOTS.

CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF TD12F CENTRE. ORGANISATION
REMAINS POOR. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION IN A
MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS IS MOVING TD12F NORTHWESTWARDS WITH SLIGHT
INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.