alu

JTWC 08Z評級升至HIGH...




  (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 100.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.2N 101.3E, APPROXIMATELY 515 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CURVED, DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CONSOLIDATING, EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 050305Z METOP-B 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD CENTER. A 050306Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POSITIONED OVER LAND, WHICH IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE MALAY PENINSULA. ONCE BACK OVER WATER IN ABOUT 12 HOURS, FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) SHOULD AID IN DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 050730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

Meow

造成檳城史上最嚴重水災，已有4人死亡。

http://www.sinchew.com.my/node/1698364/大水灾重创槟

霧峰追風者

滯留馬來半島已經釀不少災情..

被视为槟州有史以来最严重的水灾造成4人丧命，全槟5县开放26间救灾中心，3400名灾民疏散。

1.被视为槟州有史以来最严重的水灾造成4人丧命，全槟5县开放26间救灾中心，3400名灾民疏散。
2.副首相拿督斯里阿末扎希凌晨3时34分接获槟州首长林冠英的电话，要求为槟城水灾提供救援。
3.国防部长拿督斯里希山慕丁：国防卫队509监测队后备军团凌晨1时30分接指示出动，凌晨3时开始救灾，行动室在凌晨4时30分启动。
.首相拿督斯里纳吉：国家Security理事会负责协调救灾工作，参与的单位包括国防卫队及国家天灾管理机构。
5.国防卫队首长丹斯里莫哈末阿芬迪表示，160名军人星期日早上出发前往槟城救灾，并胥视情况决定是否有需要增援。
6.马来西亚厂商公会槟州分会Chairman拿督黄英福：初步估算槟州数个工业区的厂商损失至少数亿令吉，还不包括损坏的机器。
7.大马气象局指低压带在本月4日登陆半岛北部，导致槟城和吉打部份地区在4日和5日下豪雨，并对吉槟霹雳部份地区发出橙色警报。

霧峰追風者

JTWC 06Z升格29W..

WP, 29, 2017110606,   , BEST,   0,  83N, 1025E,  25, 1005, TD,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1007,  150,  55,   0,   0,   W,   0,    ,   0,   0, TWENTYNINE, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, TRANSITIONED, wpG52017 to wp292017

霧峰追風者

霧峰追風者 發表於 2017-11-6 15:08
JTWC 06Z升格29W..

補JTWC首報，預估明天下午以TS強度登陸泰國，進入北印達到顛峰。

WTPN31 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050721ZOCT2017//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (TWENTYNINE) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   060600Z --- NEAR 8.3N 102.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N 102.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   061800Z --- 9.6N 101.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   070600Z --- 10.6N 99.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z --- 11.6N 97.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z --- 12.5N 95.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z --- 14.1N 92.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z --- 14.8N 90.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z --- 15.4N 88.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 102.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (TWENTYNINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 060600Z IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND
070900Z. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 050730).//
NNNN

開梅

新聞說檳城連日總累積雨量約300-400公釐，已1造成很嚴重的損失了

霧峰追風者

JMA 第二度升格熱帶低壓

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09N 102E NW SLOWLY.

t02436

JMA取消TD(不再提及系統)


大概是最後一報在泰國灣了