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23P.Niran 巔峰達澳式C5 南半球新風季第三個C5

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 04:11 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-3-6 08:20 編輯

已進入FMS管轄區域,FMS接手發报,18Z定强维持澳式C5,110KT
HURRICANE WARNING 008 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 051938 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CENTRE 931HPA CATEGORY 5 WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9 SOUTH
161.4 EAST AT 051800 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 19.9S 161.4E at 051800 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS. CYCLONE WEAKENING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 100 KNOTS
BY 060600 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 220 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 22.4S 166.0E AT 060600UTC
AND NEAR 25.0S 171.2E AT 061800UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 006.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A1 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Mar 052034 UTC.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CENTRE 931HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9S
161.4E AT 051800 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR GMS EIR AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT
25 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT
110 KNOTS EASING TO 90 KNOTS BY 061200UTC.

EXPECT WINDS ABOVE 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
ABOVE 47 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 220 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CONTINUES ITS RAPID EAST SOUTHEAST
TRACK WITH A CLOUD FILLED EYE SURROUNDED BY VERY DEEP CONVECTION.
ORGANISATION VERY GOOD WITH DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING WITH PRIMARY
BANDS WRAPPING ON FROM THE NORTHWEST. NIRAN HAS GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE
AND LIES IN AN AREA OF HIGH NORTHWEST SHEAR DUE TO AN UPPER TROUGH
WEST OF THE SYSTEM.
SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. IT IS BEING STEERED SOUTH SOUTHEAST
BY THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE NEAR EQUITORIAL RIDGE LOCATED TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM WITH THE UPPER TROUGH ALSO WEST OF THE
SYSTEM. DVORAK BASED ON E#5.0 WITH BF0.5 GIVING DT OF 5.5. MET & PT =
6.0. THUS, DVORAK T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 060600UTC 22.4S 166.0E MOV ESE AT 25 KT WITH 100
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 061800UTC 25.0S 171.2E MOV ESE AT 26 KT WITH 90 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 070600UTC 27.5S 176.7E MOV ESE AT 27 KT WITH 70 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 071800UTC 29.6S 177.8E MOV ESE AT 27 KT WITH 50 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON NIRAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
060230UTC.

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-3-6 08:48 來自手機 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC00Z降格C3
23P NIRAN 210306 0000 21.2S 163.7E SHEM 100 953
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 08:49 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-3-6 08:51 編輯

即將快速往東南方向行進,強度亦將以較快的速度減弱,JTWC預測將在兩天內減弱為TS
sh2321 (7).gif
20210306.0020.himawari-8.ir.23P.NIRAN.100kts.953mb.21.2S.163.7E.100pc.jpg

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老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 13:17 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-3-6 13:46 編輯

FMS00Z暫時仍將定強維持在巔峰時的110KT,不過亦預報將開始快速減弱
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A2 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Mar 060156 UTC.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CENTRE 931HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2S
163.5E AT 060000 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HR GMS EIR/VIS AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 24
KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT
ABOUT 110 KNOTS.

EXPECT WINDS ABOVE 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
ABOVE 47 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 220 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CONTINUES ITS RAPID EAST SOUTHEAST
TRACK WITH AN EMBEDDED CENTER WITH A SLIGHTLY WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE. ORGANISATION REMAINS GOOD WITH LLCC IN AREA OF HIGH
NORTHWEST SHEAR WITH STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH
OF THE SYSTEM. SST AROUND 27 DEGRESS CELCIUS. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE
STEERED EAST SOUTHEAST BY THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE NEAR
EQUITORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. DVORAK BASED ON EMBEDDED PATTERN
IN CMG CF[5.0] WITH BF[0.5] YIELDING DT 5.5. MET & PT 6.0. FT BO PT
THUS T6.0/6.5/W1.0/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 061200UTC 23.7S 168.4E MOV ESE AT 26 KT WITH 90 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 070000UTC 26.3S 174.0E MOV ESE AT 27 KT WITH 70 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 071200UTC 28.5S 179.7E MOV ESE AT 28 KT WITH 50 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 080000UTC 30.1S 175.0E MOV ESE AT 27 KT WITH 35 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON NIRAN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
060800UTC.

65643 (2).gif 20210306.0450.goes-17.vis.2km.23P.NIRAN.110kts.945mb.21.2S.163.7E.pc.jpg
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dom|2021-3-6 13:19 | 顯示全部樓層
FMS降格澳式C4
Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 3 on Severe Tropical Cyclone NIRAN

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 3 issued by the Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards
Department, Port Vila at 3:40pm VUT Saturday 6 March 2021 for TAFEA province.

At 3:00 pm local time, Severe Tropical Cyclone NIRAN [927hPa] Category 4, was
located at 22.2 degrees South 165.4 degrees East. This is about 600KM south southwest
of Efate and 500KM southwest of Tanna. The system is positioned at the top center
of square letter F, number 13 (F,13) in the New Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone Tracking
Map, [Top Center of Square letter E, number 12 (E,12) in the Old Vanuatu Tropical
Cyclone Tracking Map]. Severe Tropical Cyclone NIRAN has been moving in an
east southeasterly direction at 81KM/HR (44Knots) in the past 3 hours. Maximum
sustained winds close to the center are estimated at 185KM/HR (100Knots).

Strong to gale force winds of 90KM/HR (47Knots), gusting to 110KM/HR (55Knots) is
expected to affect TAFEA PROVINCE today.

Destructive storm force winds of 120KM/HR (63Knots) with gusting up to 150KM/HR
80Knots) expected within 40 Nautical miles from the center.

Hurricane force winds of 185KM/HR (100Knots), gusting to 185KM/HR (145Knots)
expected within 20 Nautical miles from the center.

The Severe Tropical Cyclone NIRAN is forecast to be at 24.8 degrees South
170.3 degrees East in the next 3 to 6 hours.

Forecast Positions
Date and Time                     Position                 Intensity
+06 hours (7pm, 6 Mar)            23.5S, 167.8E           100 KTS (185 KM/HR)
+12 hours (1am, 7 Mar)            24.8S, 170.3E           100 KTS (185 KM/HR)
+18 hours (7am, 7 Mar)            26.0S, 172.9E           100 KTS (185 KM/HR)
+24 hours (1pm, 7 Mar)            27.2S, 175.6E            80 KTS (150 KM/HR)
+36 hours (1am, 8 Mar)            29.4S, 178.9W            60 KTS (110 KM/HR)
+48 hours (1pm, 8 Mar)            30.9S, 174.1W            40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+60 hours (1am, 9 Mar)            31.5S, 170.5W            40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+72 hours (1pm, 9 Mar)            31.5S, 168.0W            25 KTS (45 KM/HR)

Rough seas with swells expected throughout the group today and continuing tonight.
High Seas wind warning is current for all open waters of Vanuatu group. Marine strong
wind warning is current for all coastal waters of Vanuatu. Very strong inland winds
of more than 30knots (55KM/HR) will continue to affect Tafea and Shefa province today.
People, including sea going vessels are  advised to take extra precautions until the
system has completely moved out of Vanuatu waters. Winds over these areas will slowly
weaken as the system moves further in the east southeasterly direction.

The Vanuatu National Disaster Management Office (NDMO) advises that Red Alert is still
inforce for TAFEA Province while All Clear is now given for SHEFA Province. For actions
on this alert call NDMO on 22699,33366, 7738201 and 7720836

The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department will issue the next warning on
Severe Tropical Cyclone NIRAN at 6:00pm.  People are advised to listen to Radio
Vanuatu for the latest information on this system.

This warning bulletin is also available on https://www.vmgd.gov.vu, Toll Free No:116 and
https://www.facebook.com/vmgd.gov.vu
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老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 13:50 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC改00Z定強為110節
23P NIRAN 210306 0000 21.2S 163.7E SHEM 110 945
WTPS31 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN) WARNING NR 021   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   060000Z --- NEAR 21.2S 163.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S 163.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 23.5S 168.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 28 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 26.2S 174.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 25 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z --- 27.9S 179.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z --- 28.9S 175.3W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 21.8S 165.0E.
06MAR21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (NIRAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS THE EYE HAS FILLED
AND CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE RAGGED AND FRONTAL IN NATURE AS
NIRAN ACCELERATES TO THE SOUTHEAST. A 052005Z SSMIS PASS REVEALS THE
DEGRADATION OF CORE STRUCTURE. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS BASED ON
TRACKING OF THE FILLING EYE IN MSI AS IT APPROACHED NEW CALEDONIA.
THE INTENSITY WAS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS, WHICH IS CLOSE TO CIMSS ADT
ESTIMATES AND BELOW AGENCY CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES GIVEN THE
RAPID WEAKENING OBSERVED. ALTHOUGH POLEWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS ROBUST,
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NOW 30 KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO INCREASE.
ADDITIONALLY, NIRAN IS TRACKING THROUGH A SHARP GRADIENT OF
DECLINING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE VALUES. TC 23P IS TRACKING RAPIDLY
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE TIGHT UPPER-LEVEL GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
DEEP-LAYER RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE
SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK
THROUGH TAU 24 WHERE IT TURNS TO A GENERALLY EASTWARD TRACK. BY TAU
24, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT MOVES INTO
COOLER (LESS THAN 26 C) WATERS AND INTERACTS WITH THE TROUGH.
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, TC 23P SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN AS
PERSISTENT HIGH VWS IMPACTS THE SYSTEM, WEAKENING TO 45 KTS BY TAU
48. THE SYSTEM SHOULD COMPLETE SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 48, IF
NOT SOONER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
TAU 24. AFTERWARDS, THE SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS PLACED CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS JTWC FORECAST, AND SLIGHTLY
NORTH OF THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET NAVGEM'S SOUTHERN
OUTLIER TRACK. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE
FORECAST TRACK AND LOW CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER DUE TO THE INCREASING
SPREAD IN MODEL SOLUTIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
060000Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND
070300Z.//
NNNN
sh2321 (8).gif 20210306.0456.f15.85rgb.23P.NIRAN.110kts.945mb.21.2S.163.7E.055pc.jpg
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老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 15:26 | 顯示全部樓層
FMS06Z再直接降格澳式C3
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20210306 /0600Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: NIRAN
ADVISORY NR: 2021/3
OBS PSN: 06/0600Z S2218 E16618
CB: WI 220NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: ESE 28KT
C: 958HPA
MAX WIND: 85KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 06/1200 S2336 E16848
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 75KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 06/1800 S2454 E17136
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 07/0000 S2612 E17430
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 60KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 07/0600 S2718 E17724
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 55KT
RMK: CYCLONE WEAKENING


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老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 15:32 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-3-6 15:38 編輯

FMS06Z再直接降格澳式C3
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20210306 /0600Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: NIRAN
ADVISORY NR: 2021/3
OBS PSN: 06/0600Z S2218 E16618
CB: WI 220NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: ESE 28KT
C: 958HPA
MAX WIND: 85KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 06/1200 S2336 E16848
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 75KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 06/1800 S2454 E17136
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 07/0000 S2612 E17430
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 60KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 07/0600 S2718 E17724
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 55KT
RMK: CYCLONE WEAKENING
HURRICANE WARNING 010 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 060711 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE NIRAN CENTRE 958HPA CATEGORY 3 WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3 SOUTH
166.3 EAST AT 060600 UTC.
POSITION GOOD.
REPEAT POSITION 22.3S 166.3E at 060600 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS. CYCLONE WEAKENING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 70 KNOTS BY
061800 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 220 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 160 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 24.9S 171.6E AT 061800 UTC
AND NEAR 27.3S 177.4E AT 070600 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 009.
65643 (3).gif
8480d555-ff36-430f-9dea-7f2bc5af2dbb.jpeg 23P_gefs_latest (1).png
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