09S.Emang 雲系幾近散架

jwpk9899 · 2013-1-12 23:08

MFR升格為06R
而且這路徑超無言的首先過去路徑亂轉....
未來路徑呢乾脆畫一個圈好了...

阿隆 · 2013-1-13 03:27

阿隆 · 2013-1-13 06:20

擾動身份長達17天後總算升格為TC,JTWC第1報:趨向南印度洋中部,強度上限應在下幾報會較準,暫時無害!

frintezza · 2013-1-13 14:25

本帖最後由 frintezza 於 2013-1-13 14:28 編輯

根據NRL的擾動定位, 路徑會是這樣 XD

(從右上方開始)

等09S消散後, 我會再畫一張

jwpk9899 · 2013-1-13 17:07

正式命名為Emang
上看TC
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2013/01/13 18 UTC: 11.8 S / 79.9 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2013/01/14 06 UTC: 12.3 S / 79.0 E, MAX WIND=045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2013/01/14 18 UTC: 12.8 S / 78.3 E, MAX WIND=050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2013/01/15 06 UTC: 13.1 S / 77.9 E, MAX WIND=055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
60H: 2013/01/15 18 UTC: 13.5 S / 77.5 E, MAX WIND=060 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
72H: 2013/01/16 06 UTC: 13.8 S / 77.1 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL
CYCLONE

麻友飯 · 2013-1-16 13:34

老J的預測:
FORECAST DATA

Time		Position		Strength		Wind Probabilities		Wind Model
GMT	Lead	Lat	Long	Peak Wind	Cat	TS	Cat 1 or Above	Wind Field
16 Jan, 6:00	12 hrs	14.9 S	78.4 E	35 kts	TS	To 12 hrs	To 12 hrs	N/A
16 Jan, 18:00	24 hrs	15.2 S	76.8 E	40 kts	TS	To 24 hrs	To 24 hrs	N/A
17 Jan, 6:00	36 hrs	15.6 S	74.6 E	45 kts	TS	To 36 hrs	To 36 hrs	N/A
17 Jan, 18:00	48 hrs	16.0 S	72.7 E	50 kts	TS	To 48 hrs	To 48 hrs	N/A
18 Jan, 18:00	72 hrs	16.4 S	69.3 E	50 kts	TS	To 72 hrs	To 72 hrs	N/A
19 Jan, 18:00	96 hrs	16.8 S	66.6 E	50 kts	TS	To 96 hrs	To 96 hrs	N/A
20 Jan, 18:00	120 hrs	17.4 S	64.0 E	50 kts	TS	To 120 hrs	To 120 hrs	N/